The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1212 | 1198 | 52% | 2025-11-29 | Lost |
| 731 | 1257 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1190 | 1114 | 61% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1138 | 47% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1164 | 969 | 75% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1164 | 853 | 86% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1165 | 50% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1073 | 21% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1138 | 958 | 74% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 886 | 82% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1138 | 55% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 984 | 1050 | 41% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1049.9 has a 53.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).