The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1177 | 27% | 2025-11-29 | | Lost |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2023-07-10 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2021-05-22 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1134 | 52% | 2020-06-12 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2020-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2020-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 969 | 74% | 2019-03-29 | | Won |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2019-02-24 | | Won |
| 1115 | 1045 | 60% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2018-02-26 | | Lost |
| 839 | 1062 | 22% | 2017-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2017-08-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2015-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 904 | 79% | 2015-02-02 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-07-15 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2011-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2006-02-04 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2003-10-21 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1012 | 79% | 1998-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1045 | 44% | 1992-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1042.1 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).