The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 741 | 1256 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1139 | 1115 | 53% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1117 | 59% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1183 | 41% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1153 | 969 | 74% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1153 | 858 | 85% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1021 | 986 | 55% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1165 | 48% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1050 | 23% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1183 | 960 | 78% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1094 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 927 | 78% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1138 | 48% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1048.7 has a 51.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).