The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (19 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1198 | 947 | 81% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1198 | 1163 | 55% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
842 | 1108 | 18% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
1087 | 1183 | 37% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
1129 | 977 | 71% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
1031 | 1040 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
1142 | 1112 | 54% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
990 | 1045 | 42% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1042.5 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).