The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1160 | 1141 | 53% | 2025-11-29 | Lost |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1198 | 1114 | 62% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1117 | 42% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1058 | 58% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1116 | 969 | 70% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1163 | 43% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 840 | 1058 | 22% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 959 | 64% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1093 | 49% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1149 | 878 | 83% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1006 | 81% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1078 | 37% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1041.6 has a 53.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).