The Agony of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (23 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1170 | 45% | 2025-11-29 | Lost |
| 746 | 1225 | 6% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2021-05-22 | Won |
| 1113 | 1134 | 47% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1117 | 45% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1083 | 55% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-02-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 977 | 59% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1163 | 44% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 839 | 1052 | 23% | 2017-11-11 | Lost |
| 1083 | 958 | 67% | 2017-08-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1136 | 43% | 2015-08-01 | Lost |
| 1150 | 885 | 82% | 2015-02-02 | Won |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1039 | 49% | 2012-11-19 | Won |
| 1006 | 986 | 53% | 2011-07-15 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1142 | 48% | 2006-02-04 | Won |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2003-10-21 | Lost |
| 1263 | 993 | 83% | 1998-03-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 977 | 51% | 1992-05-09 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1034.4 has a 55.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).