Blood and Guts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (16 on the archive and 110 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 73
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2026-03-19 | Won |
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2023-01-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1108 | 39% | 2017-09-23 | Tied |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 1007 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-08-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
| 694 | 1022 | 13% | 2013-08-17 | Lost |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2011-09-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1005 | 79% | 2007-08-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2002-11-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2000-01-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 1999-05-11 | Lost |
| 880 | 1060 | 26% | 1998-11-13 | Won |
| 1033 | 894 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 982.7 vs 1044.6 has a 41.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).