The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1026 | 46% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 968 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1011 | 918 | 63% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 968 | 78% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1039 | 58% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 968 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1142 | 983 | 71% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1050 | 693 | 89% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 1051 | 1040 | 52% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1134 | 1185 | 43% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 913 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1139 | 1159 | 47% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1139 | 43% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1075.8 vs 1019.7 has a 58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).