The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (21 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 1027 | 43% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
| 1027 | 1039 | 48% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 969 | 1135 | 28% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1097 | 932 | 72% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
| 1204 | 967 | 80% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
| 1108 | 1040 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 967 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
| 1176 | 983 | 75% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
| 1086 | 694 | 91% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
| 991 | 1042 | 43% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
| 1120 | 1088 | 55% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
| 1176 | 1228 | 43% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
| 1025 | 912 | 66% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
| 1053 | 1068 | 48% | 2006-01-18 | Won |
| 1228 | 1068 | 72% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 1249 | 51% | 2004-11-14 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1163 | 53% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1073 | 54% | 2001-02-03 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1065 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1095.6 vs 1032.9 has a 58.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).