Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1094 | 1100 | 49% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1094 | 51% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
| 864 | 1045 | 26% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1050 | 46% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1200 | 44% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1085.5 has a 45.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).