Shadows of Death
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 5
Defender wins (American): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2025-02-07 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2023-03-28 | Tied |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2017-04-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2014-12-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-04-11 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1203 | 44% | 2003-02-25 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.7 vs 1089.4 has a 45.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).