Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1050 | 39% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 854 | 1042 | 25% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1100 | 39% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1112 | 1075 | 55% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 918 | 1073 | 29% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 897 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1098 | 34% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 1162 | 20% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1228 | 22% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 882 | 1003 | 33% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1190 | 45% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1067 | 1203 | 31% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1059 | 1091 | 45% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1068 | 47% | 1998-09-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1139 | 1187 | 43% | 1996-09-07 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1044.4 vs 1099.2 has a 42.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).