Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 1044 | 37% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1058 | 43% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1081 | 1092 | 48% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1111 | 53% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 879 | 1140 | 18% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 896 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1136 | 51% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1100 | 34% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 920 | 959 | 44% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 949 | 920 | 54% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.9 vs 1079.9 has a 43.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).