Panthers in the Mist
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1078 | 30% | 2024-12-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-02-28 | Lost |
| 858 | 1008 | 30% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1117 | 37% | 2022-10-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1066 | 58% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
| 941 | 1058 | 34% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 959 | 897 | 59% | 2016-05-21 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2012-10-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1095 | 35% | 2010-04-02 | Lost |
| 918 | 918 | 50% | 2009-03-14 | Won |
| 918 | 979 | 41% | 2009-01-30 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1228 | 22% | 2008-09-30 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2008-05-10 | Won |
| 883 | 950 | 40% | 2004-10-30 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1198 | 45% | 2001-10-14 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2001-09-26 | Won |
| 1041 | 1103 | 41% | 2001-06-17 | Won |
| 1049 | 1068 | 47% | 1998-09-18 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1997-12-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1189 | 43% | 1996-09-07 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1078.4 has a 44.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).