Probing the Villas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (9 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 28
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American / Partisan): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2025-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 969 | 56% | 2023-05-05 | A | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
| 1128 | 1023 | 65% | 2019-06-28 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-08-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2016-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2002-12-30 | | Lost |
| 1010 | 1344 | 13% | 1999-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-12-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1085.7 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).