The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 919 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1019 | 56% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1142 | 29% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1156 | 36% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 978 | 754 | 78% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1014 | 64% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 1063 | 916 | 70% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1044 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1074 | 61% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1016 | 69% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.8 vs 1039.7 has a 50.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).