The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1136 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 906 | 1021 | 34% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1057 | 46% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 869 | 1217 | 12% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 990 | 707 | 84% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1011 | 65% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 993 | 1003 | 49% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1044 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1072 | 60% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1016 | 56% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 1046.2 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).