The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1114 | 52% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 920 | 1122 | 24% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 986 | 1146 | 28% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1234 | 28% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 907 | 1221 | 14% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 740 | 80% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 993 | 67% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 904 | 71% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1044 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1073 | 61% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1016 | 78% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 1043 | 46% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.6 vs 1044.6 has a 49.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).