The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 919 | 1103 | 26% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1144 | 29% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1204 | 29% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 881 | 1217 | 13% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 910 | 1080 | 27% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 978 | 756 | 78% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1013 | 65% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 1032 | 1043 | 48% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1044 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1074 | 61% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1016 | 75% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1053.1 has a 50.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).