The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 920 | 983 | 41% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1228 | 20% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1151 | 35% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 755 | 79% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1012 | 65% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 1022 | 1015 | 51% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1044 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1073 | 60% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1016 | 69% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.1 vs 1050.3 has a 50.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).