The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-12-11 | Lost |
| 919 | 1073 | 29% | 2019-10-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1019 | 57% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1176 | 25% | 2019-04-12 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1184 | 32% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 881 | 1217 | 13% | 2018-01-06 | Lost |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2016-10-02 | Lost |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-01-16 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1012 | 65% | 2010-04-08 | Won |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-10-27 | Won |
| 1053 | 958 | 63% | 2005-06-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1043 | 57% | 2005-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2002-05-09 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1016 | 72% | 1999-04-04 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1998-01-03 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1997-12-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1053.3 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).