The Bridge at Cheneux
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (18 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-10-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2019-12-11 | | Lost |
| 917 | 1004 | 38% | 2019-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2019-04-27 | | Won |
| 986 | 1230 | 20% | 2019-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1150 | 33% | 2018-08-27 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2018-01-06 | | Lost |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2016-10-02 | | Lost |
| 990 | 692 | 85% | 2015-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 995 | 68% | 2010-04-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2009-10-27 | | Won |
| 1050 | 954 | 63% | 2005-06-17 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2005-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1999-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-01-03 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1997-12-21 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1031.2 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).