Carnage in the Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1032 | 46% | 2026-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2023-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 982 | 55% | 2021-10-16 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2019-12-28 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2018-03-16 | | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-01-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1997-12-23 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1044.4 has a 47.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).