Carnage in the Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (6 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
1008 | 1026 | 47% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
1095 | 1133 | 45% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2003-01-13 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1997-12-23 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1089.2 has a 43.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).