Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (23 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 40
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2026-06-22 | Won |
| 1077 | 1211 | 32% | 2025-04-12 | Lost |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-09-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
| 1143 | 1172 | 46% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
| 906 | 1021 | 34% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2015-10-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
| 992 | 1055 | 41% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 1055 | 41% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
| 885 | 870 | 52% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1172 | 44% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
| 1130 | 1172 | 44% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1019 | 61% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 997 | 1019 | 47% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2005-07-01 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1219 | 56% | 1999-12-30 | Won |
| 1003 | 958 | 56% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
| 1153 | 1077 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1067 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).