Howard's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (British): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2021-01-03 | Won |
1144 | 971 | 73% | 2019-08-06 | Won |
1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-22 | Lost |
1027 | 1067 | 44% | 2014-02-21 | Lost |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
895 | 869 | 54% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
1008 | 971 | 55% | 2009-05-01 | Won |
1008 | 971 | 55% | 2009-04-17 | Lost |
1096 | 992 | 65% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
997 | 992 | 51% | 2005-08-31 | Won |
994 | 963 | 54% | 1999-10-30 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-05-16 | Won |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1022.8 vs 1019.4 has a 50.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).