Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (British): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 802 | 916 | 34% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 951 | 1062 | 35% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1080 | 61% | 2025-05-31 | Won |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1107 | 50% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1133 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 953 | 1145 | 25% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1065 | 1107 | 44% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 755 | 81% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1107 | 44% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
| 1139 | 1041 | 64% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1058 | 66% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1174 | 57% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1133 | 53% | 2001-08-27 | Lost |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 977 | 70% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
| 1152 | 1009 | 69% | 1997-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 1042.5 has a 52.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).