Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 959 | 27% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1066 | 44% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1055 | 70% | 2025-05-31 | Won |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1074 | 945 | 68% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1118 | 980 | 69% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1131 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 1068 | 43% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 980 | 69% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 757 | 82% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
| 1117 | 980 | 69% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1064 | 72% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
| 1221 | 1229 | 49% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1120 | 62% | 2001-08-27 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1088 | 75% | 1999-05-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1173 | 978 | 75% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 1997-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1036.4 has a 57.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).