Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (19 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (British): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
963 | 1019 | 42% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
1159 | 1016 | 69% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
1135 | 1137 | 50% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
971 | 1151 | 26% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
1007 | 1016 | 49% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
1093 | 1058 | 55% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
1007 | 1016 | 49% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
936 | 1009 | 40% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
1221 | 936 | 84% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
1158 | 977 | 74% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1039 has a 53.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).