Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 786 | 1015 | 21% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 988 | 1046 | 42% | 2025-06-06 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1025 | 70% | 2025-05-31 | Won |
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1132 | 1138 | 49% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1133 | 1118 | 52% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2015-11-13 | Won |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 947 | 1144 | 24% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
| 949 | 972 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1133 | 50% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1015 | 756 | 82% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 1133 | 50% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1133 | 64% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
| 967 | 1041 | 40% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
| 1224 | 1172 | 57% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1134 | 55% | 2001-08-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 1999-11-28 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1088 | 73% | 1999-05-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1159 | 978 | 74% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1008 | 68% | 1997-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1050.4 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).