The Hawk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (25 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 886 | 52% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 764 | 1003 | 20% | 2024-12-01 | Lost |
| 918 | 1102 | 26% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-12-21 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1107 | 37% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 764 | 1016 | 19% | 2016-12-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1046 | 46% | 2016-02-18 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1228 | 871 | 89% | 2014-07-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 873 | 75% | 2013-01-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 873 | 75% | 2013-01-12 | Won |
| 873 | 1067 | 25% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
| 873 | 1067 | 25% | 2012-12-20 | Won |
| 1086 | 904 | 74% | 2009-06-25 | Won |
| 846 | 1046 | 24% | 2005-04-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2003-12-18 | Won |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 2002-07-26 | Won |
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2000-12-29 | Won |
| 1064 | 1047 | 52% | 2000-05-24 | Lost |
| 1052 | 941 | 65% | 2000-05-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1026 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).