China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 879 | 54% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1114 | 900 | 77% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 895 | 73% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 895 | 73% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 895 | 1066 | 27% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 895 | 1066 | 27% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 848 | 880 | 45% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1082 | 48% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 973 | 1061 | 38% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1217 | 37% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 940 | 1061 | 33% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1029 | 62% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1007.1 has a 53.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).