China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 886 | 52% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 871 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 873 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 873 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 873 | 1067 | 25% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 873 | 1067 | 25% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1152 | 1186 | 45% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1052 | 35% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1036 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 996.8 has a 55.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).