China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (15 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 925 | 870 | 58% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 879 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1071 | 879 | 75% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 879 | 1071 | 25% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 879 | 1071 | 25% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1073 | 55% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1027 | 52% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1158 | 1184 | 46% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1045 | 35% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1065 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 999.9 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).