China Girl
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (15 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 924 | 881 | 56% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 918 | 71% | 2015-12-27 | Won |
| 1228 | 870 | 89% | 2014-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2014-06-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 889 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 2004-01-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1151 | 1185 | 45% | 2002-08-04 | Lost |
| 942 | 1029 | 38% | 2000-06-02 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1010 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1000.3 has a 55.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).