Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 922 | 1050 | 32% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1056 | 45% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1156 | 48% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 973 | 74% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1051 | 35% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1028 | 56% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1024.9 vs 1076.6 has a 42.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).