Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
879 | 1140 | 18% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
983 | 1003 | 47% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
929 | 929 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
1067 | 1116 | 43% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
940 | 1089 | 30% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
1069 | 1036 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 998.9 vs 1098.7 has a 36.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).