Ryan's Orphans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1107 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2016-03-20 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1046 | 46% | 2016-03-07 | Lost |
| 871 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-08-25 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Won |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2004-02-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1189 | 45% | 2002-09-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 974 | 74% | 2001-09-15 | Lost |
| 941 | 1052 | 35% | 2000-09-16 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1036 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1079.8 has a 42.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).