Didn't Have to Be There
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (16 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 900 | 900 | 50% | 2025-01-21 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1043 | 60% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 1019 | 1019 | 50% | 2016-02-21 | Won |
| 1125 | 876 | 81% | 2015-11-28 | Lost |
| 939 | 975 | 45% | 2015-11-16 | Won |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 1066 | 889 | 73% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 889 | 1066 | 27% | 2013-03-17 | Won |
| 889 | 1066 | 27% | 2013-03-17 | Won |
| 1121 | 1218 | 36% | 2003-04-19 | Won |
| 1026 | 1218 | 25% | 2001-11-25 | Won |
| 940 | 1080 | 31% | 2000-06-20 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1056 | 52% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 1046 has a 43.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).