The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (British): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1015 | 53% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 747 | 1192 | 7% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1020 | 56% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1074 | 47% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1043 | 54% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1313 | 968 | 88% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1277 | 1025 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1090 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1234 | 35% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1115 | 52% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1066.9 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).