The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (12 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (British): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
804 | 1160 | 11% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
992 | 1055 | 41% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
999 | 1087 | 38% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 1096 | 50% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
1148 | 1142 | 51% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1049.5 vs 1064.8 has a 47.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).