The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (British): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 994 | 55% | 2021-09-26 | | Won |
| 728 | 1292 | 4% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2017-03-30 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1033 | 51% | 2014-03-28 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2011-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2009-09-20 | | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-08-04 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2004-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1159 | 51% | 2003-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1122 | 1196 | 40% | 2000-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1060.8 has a 50.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).