The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 734 | 1168 | 8% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1018 | 50% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1047 | 995 | 57% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1039 | 1063 | 47% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 943 | 943 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1219 | 969 | 81% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1102 | 59% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1119 | 50% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 994 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1045 has a 53.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).