The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1018 | 57% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1024 | 54% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1253 | 968 | 84% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1204 | 44% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1173 | 44% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1058.3 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).