The Prize
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (14 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (British): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 743 | 1264 | 5% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1019 | 56% | 2020-12-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 1051 | 1051 | 50% | 2014-03-28 | Lost |
| 953 | 968 | 48% | 2011-09-17 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1040 | 55% | 2009-09-20 | Won |
| 1333 | 968 | 89% | 2008-08-04 | Won |
| 1277 | 1035 | 80% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2004-10-23 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1174 | 46% | 2003-09-28 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1127 | 50% | 2000-08-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-05-15 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.9 vs 1070.9 has a 48.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).