Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 34
Defender wins (Japanese): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1106 | 1053 | 58% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 994 | 1248 | 19% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1248 | 1064 | 74% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 973 | 959 | 52% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1116 | 51% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1116 | 1065 | 57% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 966 | 1036 | 40% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067 vs 1080 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).