Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (17 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 28
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1102 | 1079 | 53% | 2024-01-29 | Lost |
| 966 | 1076 | 35% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
| 955 | 1092 | 31% | 2020-09-19 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1076 | 1029 | 57% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2018-11-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1152 | 39% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 971 | 915 | 58% | 2009-07-06 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1140 | 47% | 2008-10-08 | Won |
| 1125 | 1030 | 63% | 2007-08-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1233 | 23% | 2007-05-19 | Won |
| 1030 | 1065 | 45% | 2005-07-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1271 | 49% | 2003-06-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 892 | 81% | 2002-10-07 | Won |
| 978 | 1077 | 36% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 1231 | 1342 | 35% | 2002-01-05 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1089.2 vs 1102.8 has a 48.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).