The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 959 | 54% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1200 | 974 | 79% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 1200 | 30% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1047.3 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).