The Sand Spit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 11
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 962 | 52% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 980 | 76% | 2023-08-15 | Won |
| 1050 | 1177 | 32% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2020-08-16 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1041 | 1027 | 52% | 2007-04-18 | Won |
| 1174 | 1163 | 52% | 2002-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1055.5 has a 56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).