The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (12 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 36
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1029 | 956 | 60% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
1188 | 1073 | 66% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1159 | 994 | 72% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
1179 | 961 | 78% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1149 | 32% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
1212 | 1076 | 69% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
972 | 1016 | 44% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1088 | 1015 | 60% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
1040 | 958 | 62% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
1292 | 1213 | 61% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
1016 | 1007 | 51% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
1137 | 1077 | 59% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1110.8 vs 1041.3 has a 59.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).