The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 951 | 70% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1186 | 1073 | 66% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 917 | 78% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1168 | 1009 | 71% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1066 | 50% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1098 | 72% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 973 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1116 | 43% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1035 | 56% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 998 | 56% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 1310 | 1213 | 64% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 1058 | 44% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2008-08-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1098 | 49% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1121 | 64% | 2006-01-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1074 | 47% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1112 vs 1058 has a 57.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).