The Good Shepherd
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Canadian): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 949 | 74% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1185 | 1107 | 61% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1003 | 69% | 2023-04-03 | Won |
| 1162 | 1089 | 60% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1194 | 34% | 2023-03-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1021 | 75% | 2023-03-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1030 | 42% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1135 | 40% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1038 | 51% | 2019-12-07 | Lost |
| 1019 | 924 | 63% | 2017-03-27 | Won |
| 1211 | 1214 | 50% | 2011-06-07 | Won |
| 1030 | 1153 | 33% | 2010-12-04 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2008-08-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1021 | 46% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1156 | 36% | 2006-01-27 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1084 | 52% | 2003-10-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2003-05-13 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2003-03-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084.2 vs 1062.2 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).