A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1141 | 26% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1054 | 81% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1128 | 909 | 78% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1014 | 59% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1241 | 33% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1081 | 1122 | 44% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1071 vs 1046.9 has a 53.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).