A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1126 | 44% | 2024-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2024-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1029 | 47% | 2019-05-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2019-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2012-04-27 | | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2008-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1076 | 62% | 2006-03-05 | | Won |
| 1069 | 1109 | 44% | 2003-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 987 | 79% | 2003-04-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2003-02-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1054.3 has a 52.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).