A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 1153 | 24% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1054 | 82% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 909 | 78% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1010 | 59% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 931 | 1060 | 32% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1202 | 39% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1100 | 1105 | 49% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1000 | 82% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.2 vs 1046.5 has a 54.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).