A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1014 | 56% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 1033 | 1014 | 53% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1002 | 64% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 880 | 880 | 50% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1140 | 45% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1035 | 1089 | 42% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1189 | 944 | 80% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1007.6 has a 54.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).