A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (13 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1157 | 24% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1054 | 81% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1098 | 909 | 75% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1014 | 58% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1074 | 41% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 932 | 1058 | 33% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1218 | 36% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1104 | 49% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1003 | 82% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1048.5 has a 53.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).