A Few Rounds
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 36
Defender wins (Canadian): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1071 | 74% | 2024-08-27 | Won |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
| 1073 | 905 | 72% | 2023-11-17 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2020-04-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1011 | 55% | 2019-05-17 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1089 | 39% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
| 931 | 1098 | 28% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2010-11-20 | Won |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1184 | 46% | 2006-03-05 | Won |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2003-10-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 993 | 73% | 2003-04-16 | Won |
| 1292 | 1283 | 51% | 2003-02-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1094 vs 1080.6 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).