L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1268 | 15% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 933 | 1107 | 27% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 933 | 73% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 1143 | 764 | 90% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
| 1010 | 959 | 57% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 965 | 1163 | 24% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1219 | 18% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1127 | 857 | 83% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 898 | 1181 | 16% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
| 1060 | 965 | 63% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 1044 | 1226 | 26% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 764 | 1143 | 10% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1094 | 31% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 884 | 998 | 34% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1028 | 41% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 932 | 1047 | 34% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1228 | 39% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1011 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1219 | 40% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1048 | 48% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 928 | 53% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
| 1158 | 946 | 77% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1044 | 59% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1050 | 46% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 848 | 1046 | 24% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
| 1115 | 987 | 68% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1052 | 64% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1033.4 vs 1056.4 has a 46.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).