L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1220 | 18% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 946 | 1227 | 17% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1227 | 946 | 83% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 960 | 73% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 926 | 69% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 969 | 1121 | 29% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
| 1166 | 913 | 81% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 943 | 1218 | 17% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
| 1166 | 913 | 81% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 986 | 79% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 985 | 1070 | 38% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1007 | 68% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
| 1135 | 965 | 73% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1226 | 31% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 960 | 1131 | 27% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1091 | 31% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 883 | 884 | 50% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 963 | 938 | 54% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 943 | 1233 | 16% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1024 | 1046 | 47% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1233 | 39% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1015 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1118 | 27% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1214 | 40% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1049 | 43% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 949 | 50% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
| 1158 | 948 | 77% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
| 913 | 1166 | 19% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1044 | 61% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1060 | 45% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 998 | 69% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
| 1159 | 986 | 73% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1263 | 28% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-04-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1095 | 72% | 1997-07-31 | Lost |
| 1150 | 974 | 73% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1073.7 vs 1058.7 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).