L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 193 (47 on the archive and 146 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 90
Defender wins (American): 103
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1289 | 29% | 2025-06-26 | | Lost |
| 946 | 1211 | 18% | 2023-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 946 | 82% | 2023-07-02 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2022-01-20 | | Won |
| 1040 | 927 | 66% | 2021-09-21 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1136 | 29% | 2021-03-12 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2020-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2020-05-13 | | Lost |
| 911 | 1218 | 15% | 2020-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2019-05-02 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2017-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2017-01-10 | | Won |
| 1138 | 987 | 70% | 2016-06-25 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2016-05-30 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2016-02-22 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1049 | 62% | 2016-02-10 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2014-10-03 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1226 | 44% | 2013-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2013-06-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2012-11-28 | | Lost |
| 951 | 1000 | 43% | 2012-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2012-10-01 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2011-06-24 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2011-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1233 | 39% | 2011-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1015 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2008-05-01 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1127 | 26% | 2005-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2004-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-10-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2004-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2004-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2004-05-07 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2003-08-31 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2001-12-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2000-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 1998-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1998-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-04-18 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-04-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-01-21 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1997-07-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 1997-03-08 | | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1068 vs 1049 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).