L'Abbaye Blanche
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 20
Defender wins (American): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1274 | 17% | 2025-06-26 | Lost |
| 933 | 1155 | 22% | 2023-07-09 | Lost |
| 1155 | 933 | 78% | 2023-07-02 | Won |
| 1118 | 805 | 86% | 2022-01-20 | Won |
| 1014 | 932 | 62% | 2021-09-21 | Lost |
| 981 | 1100 | 34% | 2021-03-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1040 | 49% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-05-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 1218 | 17% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1167 | 858 | 86% | 2019-05-02 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2017-10-31 | Lost |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2017-10-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1040 | 49% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 994 | 78% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2016-05-30 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2016-02-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1020 | 55% | 2016-02-10 | Won |
| 1055 | 965 | 63% | 2014-10-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 1226 | 31% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 805 | 1118 | 14% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2012-11-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 1094 | 31% | 2012-11-21 | Lost |
| 883 | 885 | 50% | 2012-10-01 | Won |
| 963 | 983 | 47% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1228 | 28% | 2011-06-24 | Won |
| 1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1228 | 39% | 2011-05-27 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1011 | 78% | 2009-03-01 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
| 945 | 1117 | 27% | 2005-12-11 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2004-10-07 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1048 | 43% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 947 | 928 | 53% | 2004-08-28 | Lost |
| 1236 | 949 | 84% | 2004-05-07 | Won |
| 1040 | 1031 | 51% | 2003-08-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1044 | 59% | 2001-12-15 | Won |
| 1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2001-04-07 | Lost |
| 847 | 1050 | 24% | 2000-12-28 | Lost |
| 1163 | 987 | 73% | 1998-12-20 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-21 | Won |
| 1150 | 1051 | 64% | 1997-03-08 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1044.8 vs 1052.5 has a 48.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).