A Bloody Harvest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 358 (90 on the archive and 268 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 136
Defender wins (Polish): 221
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1025 | 1013 | 52% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
1006 | 991 | 52% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
1055 | 930 | 67% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
874 | 890 | 48% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
986 | 1015 | 46% | 2023-04-11 | Lost |
937 | 1012 | 39% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
1041 | 1012 | 54% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
976 | 955 | 53% | 2023-01-29 | Lost |
967 | 1013 | 43% | 2022-12-29 | Lost |
969 | 858 | 65% | 2022-10-09 | Won |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2022-05-16 | Won |
999 | 981 | 53% | 2022-02-26 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
920 | 941 | 47% | 2021-08-06 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
983 | 916 | 60% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
1317 | 1153 | 72% | 2021-03-27 | Lost |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2021-02-05 | Lost |
912 | 1016 | 35% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
957 | 1157 | 24% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2020-10-15 | Won |
943 | 943 | 50% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
974 | 1159 | 26% | 2019-09-03 | Lost |
1026 | 977 | 57% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
1013 | 991 | 53% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
1030 | 1051 | 47% | 2019-02-05 | Lost |
1074 | 1013 | 59% | 2019-01-26 | Lost |
955 | 1030 | 39% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
1109 | 1030 | 61% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2018-08-31 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2018-05-31 | Lost |
1049 | 1006 | 56% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
890 | 911 | 47% | 2018-05-10 | Won |
951 | 998 | 43% | 2018-04-21 | Won |
1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2017-12-06 | Won |
1047 | 1109 | 41% | 2017-11-25 | Lost |
1109 | 987 | 67% | 2017-09-05 | Won |
1012 | 1158 | 30% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
1008 | 982 | 54% | 2016-12-28 | Lost |
982 | 1008 | 46% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
1109 | 1186 | 39% | 2016-11-21 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-11-19 | Lost |
847 | 855 | 49% | 2016-11-17 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2016-09-11 | Lost |
1055 | 1046 | 51% | 2016-08-15 | Lost |
881 | 1017 | 31% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
931 | 892 | 56% | 2016-08-08 | Won |
1109 | 966 | 69% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2016-01-11 | Lost |
1307 | 1098 | 77% | 2015-12-05 | Won |
931 | 986 | 42% | 2015-11-10 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2015-09-03 | Won |
1037 | 1075 | 45% | 2014-10-18 | Lost |
1158 | 1118 | 56% | 2014-07-20 | Won |
1175 | 1109 | 59% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-05-29 | Won |
1002 | 997 | 51% | 2014-04-02 | Lost |
1018 | 1225 | 23% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2013-07-27 | Lost |
1036 | 950 | 62% | 2013-07-26 | Lost |
1040 | 1104 | 41% | 2013-04-07 | Won |
1115 | 1107 | 51% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
1003 | 1068 | 41% | 2012-09-03 | Lost |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
991 | 1006 | 48% | 2012-07-12 | Won |
943 | 1137 | 25% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
1001 | 937 | 59% | 2011-09-30 | Won |
1084 | 1030 | 58% | 2010-01-19 | Lost |
989 | 1006 | 48% | 2010-01-08 | Lost |
1115 | 946 | 73% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
1180 | 1227 | 43% | 2009-03-29 | Lost |
1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2009-02-22 | Won |
1003 | 1062 | 42% | 2009-01-23 | Lost |
1086 | 1006 | 61% | 2008-05-28 | Lost |
1157 | 969 | 75% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
902 | 1058 | 29% | 2007-09-26 | Lost |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2007-02-15 | Won |
1006 | 997 | 51% | 2006-11-01 | Lost |
1105 | 1032 | 60% | 2006-07-18 | Lost |
1059 | 1030 | 54% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
940 | 1227 | 16% | 2004-01-20 | Lost |
992 | 1002 | 49% | 2002-09-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 1998-05-14 | Lost |
796 | 992 | 24% | 1998-04-05 | Lost |
977 | 1142 | 28% | 1997-01-04 | Lost |
976 | 1083 | 35% | 1996-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1023.4 vs 1026 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).