Red Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2025-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2025-01-24 | | Won |
| 979 | 966 | 52% | 2024-07-03 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-04-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2011-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2011-03-14 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2008-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-03-12 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1087 | 48% | 2004-08-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 1317 | 29% | 1999-07-31 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.3 vs 1077.8 has a 42.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).