Closing the Net
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (12 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 30
Defender wins (Japanese): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2026-04-13 | | Won |
| 1063 | 1044 | 53% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 1073 | 1200 | 32% | 2022-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1200 | 1073 | 68% | 2022-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2022-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1068 | 48% | 2019-11-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2018-03-27 | | Lost |
| 820 | 841 | 47% | 2013-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2005-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-11-01 | | Won |
| 1317 | 1056 | 82% | 2002-10-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1059.3 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).