Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1059 | 60% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 914 | 1196 | 16% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 999 | 1078 | 39% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 908 | 76% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 978 | 755 | 78% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 902 | 1183 | 17% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1092 | 57% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 920 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1145 | 953 | 75% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1190 | 44% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1035 | 66% | 2005-10-04 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1028 | 78% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1195 | 1123 | 60% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1106 | 999 | 65% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1152 | 1020 | 68% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1152 | 1074 | 61% | 2002-08-10 | Lost |
| 1152 | 984 | 72% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1111.3 vs 1044.4 has a 59.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).