Swamp Cats
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1007 | 67% | 2024-05-09 | Won |
| 915 | 1260 | 12% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 923 | 69% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 941 | 70% | 2023-12-18 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2022-10-24 | Won |
| 930 | 1079 | 30% | 2018-09-21 | Won |
| 1200 | 1092 | 65% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 921 | 73% | 2011-10-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1096 | 1192 | 37% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1228 | 32% | 2009-02-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1032 | 65% | 2005-10-04 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1045 | 82% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1197 | 1159 | 55% | 2004-09-04 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1292 | 49% | 2004-05-30 | Won |
| 1111 | 1045 | 59% | 2003-10-05 | Won |
| 1123 | 1000 | 67% | 2003-01-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1073 | 60% | 2002-08-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 984 | 74% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1036 | 79% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
| 1283 | 1290 | 49% | 1999-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1132.1 vs 1060.2 has a 60.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).