Cream of the Crop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 275 (39 on the archive and 236 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 130
Defender wins (Russian): 144
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
976 | 955 | 53% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
890 | 960 | 40% | 2023-11-26 | Won |
1052 | 953 | 64% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
1087 | 1013 | 60% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
986 | 980 | 51% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
1094 | 1115 | 47% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
878 | 959 | 39% | 2021-11-24 | Lost |
1094 | 959 | 69% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
1000 | 1168 | 28% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-09-30 | Lost |
1009 | 1083 | 40% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
994 | 1056 | 41% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
1109 | 987 | 67% | 2018-05-22 | Won |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
915 | 895 | 53% | 2017-09-21 | Won |
892 | 1083 | 25% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
987 | 900 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2017-05-05 | Lost |
983 | 1041 | 42% | 2015-11-29 | Won |
1158 | 1029 | 68% | 2015-07-01 | Tied |
1108 | 1068 | 56% | 2015-05-02 | Lost |
1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
1135 | 976 | 71% | 2014-09-27 | Won |
1093 | 1112 | 47% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-07-09 | Won |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2012-04-27 | Won |
964 | 987 | 47% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2010-02-19 | Lost |
931 | 1062 | 32% | 2009-01-22 | Lost |
1147 | 1227 | 39% | 2008-10-24 | Lost |
1021 | 1227 | 23% | 2008-09-04 | Lost |
1183 | 994 | 75% | 2005-03-10 | Lost |
925 | 989 | 41% | 2005-01-07 | Lost |
1029 | 1055 | 46% | 2004-10-01 | Lost |
887 | 987 | 36% | 2004-03-15 | Won |
986 | 987 | 50% | 2004-01-01 | Lost |
1083 | 834 | 81% | 1999-10-07 | Lost |
1099 | 1142 | 44% | 1999-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1036.1 vs 1027.6 has a 51.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).