Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 981 | 50% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 1077 | 33% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1044 | 1142 | 36% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1142 | 31% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1068 | 51% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1207 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1077 | 65% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 985 | 1115 | 32% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1084 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1055 | 943 | 66% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1105 | 1022 | 62% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1030 | 1147 | 34% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 901 | 75% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1066.7 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).