Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1254 | 937 | 86% | 2025-07-31 | Won |
| 1008 | 951 | 58% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 949 | 937 | 52% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1104 | 1130 | 46% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1130 | 32% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 937 | 1067 | 32% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1220 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1131 | 937 | 75% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1014 | 57% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1085 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 937 | 68% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1067 | 48% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1057 | 56% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1110 | 39% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1123 | 49% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 1999-06-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 900 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1037 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).