Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1256 | 908 | 88% | 2025-07-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 1026 | 48% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 979 | 46% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1041 | 1139 | 36% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 1139 | 30% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1071 | 37% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1189 | 35% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 975 | 919 | 58% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1085 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1117 | 979 | 69% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1086 | 46% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1098 | 1056 | 56% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1041 | 48% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-12-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1041 | 60% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1999-06-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 900 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.8 vs 1057.6 has a 51.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).