Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1236 | 1044 | 75% | 2025-07-31 | Won |
| 1009 | 964 | 56% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1010 | 1139 | 32% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 977 | 1139 | 28% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1071 | 43% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1220 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1021 | 65% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 975 | 906 | 60% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1085 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1129 | 1021 | 65% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1046 | 75% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1087 | 43% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1056 | 56% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1035 | 1102 | 40% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 1263 | 16% | 2002-12-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1026 | 53% | 1999-11-13 | Won |
| 1113 | 998 | 66% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-06-30 | Won |
| 1029 | 900 | 68% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1063.2 has a 50.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).