Shielding Moscow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 896 | 66% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 944 | 1064 | 33% | 2021-03-04 | Won |
| 1072 | 1152 | 39% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 991 | 1152 | 28% | 2020-04-22 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1066 | 50% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1209 | 50% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1064 | 60% | 2014-06-03 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 975 | 919 | 58% | 2011-09-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1084 | 41% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 1064 | 49% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-01-11 | Lost |
| 1099 | 956 | 69% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-07-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-01-28 | Won |
| 1029 | 1107 | 39% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 1113 | 1116 | 50% | 1999-09-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 1999-06-30 | Won |
| 1056 | 901 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1112 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1051.2 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).