Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (14 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2024-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2022-11-20 | | Won |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2016-10-24 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1108 | 53% | 2013-08-07 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1108 | 53% | 2013-08-07 | | Won |
| 695 | 973 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2008-06-21 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-04-19 | | Won |
| 970 | 1078 | 35% | 2003-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1121 | 1000 | 67% | 2002-07-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2001-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1026 | 1157 | 32% | 2001-08-22 | | Won |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 1999-08-09 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 1999-07-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1032.1 vs 1052.1 has a 47.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).