Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (14 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (Italian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2024-06-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1010 | 63% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1108 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 1118 | 1108 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 694 | 973 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1141 | 56% | 2008-06-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2008-04-19 | Won |
| 970 | 1018 | 43% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1142 | 53% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
| 1039 | 1026 | 52% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1178 | 29% | 2001-08-22 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 1999-08-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1190 | 35% | 1999-07-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1085 has a 46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).