Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1268 | 17% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1094 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1100 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
| 1027 | 964 | 59% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 846 | 1046 | 24% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 872 | 72% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1010.5 vs 1011.5 has a 49.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).