Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (10 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (New Zealand): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-07-13 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1284 | 16% | 2013-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 1126 | 36% | 2010-05-12 | | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1000 | 59% | 2008-03-26 | | Won |
| 892 | 1050 | 29% | 2000-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1990-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1059 | 1000 | 58% | 1990-05-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1033.6 vs 1075.8 has a 43.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).