Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (8 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 948 | 982 | 45% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1206 | 22% | 2013-12-29 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2012-03-23 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1101 | 49% | 2012-03-20 | Lost |
| 1028 | 943 | 62% | 2010-05-12 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2009-07-10 | Won |
| 910 | 975 | 41% | 2000-07-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 873 | 70% | 1990-05-22 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.8 vs 1019.6 has a 49.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).