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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (13 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 87
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1110 | 1065 | 56% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 1156 | 957 | 76% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1029 | 72% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1227 | 957 | 83% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1141 | 899 | 80% | 2001-10-26 | Won |
| 1344 | 1194 | 70% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1011 | 72% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1094 | 887 | 77% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 867 | 79% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1078 | 44% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1140.4 vs 989.3 has a 70.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).