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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (12 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 86
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1189 | 39% | 2021-12-31 | Won |
| 949 | 960 | 48% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 871 | 79% | 2010-09-11 | Lost |
| 949 | 1098 | 30% | 2010-07-11 | Lost |
| 1242 | 960 | 84% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-08 | Lost |
| 1152 | 900 | 81% | 2001-10-26 | Won |
| 1170 | 932 | 80% | 1999-10-31 | Lost |
| 1036 | 885 | 70% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 866 | 73% | 1997-02-04 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1090 | 42% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.5 vs 982.4 has a 62.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).