Sbeitla Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1177 | 47% | 2005-12-15 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1075.3 vs 1067.7 has a 51.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).