Sbeitla Probe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (3 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2025-05-19 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2022-05-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1248 | 32% | 2005-12-15 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1099.3 has a 43.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).