Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 864 | 74% | 2022-11-04 | Won |
| 900 | 1011 | 35% | 2020-09-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1016 | 52% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
| 1083 | 1064 | 53% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-08-19 | Won |
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2003-08-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1002.7 vs 1010.7 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).