Fire on the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2026-10-05 | D | Lost |
| 1033 | 825 | 77% | 2022-11-04 | | Won |
| 967 | 1015 | 43% | 2020-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2019-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2006-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2006-08-19 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1058 | 42% | 2003-08-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1014.9 vs 993.5 has a 53.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).