Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Italian): 8
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1034 | 47% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 954 | 1061 | 35% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 1027 | 1059 | 45% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
| 1218 | 823 | 91% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1098 | 983 | 66% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
| 1028 | 980 | 57% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 1155 | 1060 | 63% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
| 905 | 1158 | 19% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1003 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1209 | 30% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1204 | 16% | 1993-05-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | | Won |
| 1140 | 1121 | 53% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1059.6 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).