Commando Hunt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 919 | 69% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 996 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 941 | 1040 | 36% | 2021-10-26 | Won |
| 948 | 1024 | 39% | 2021-10-22 | Lost |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
| 1018 | 927 | 63% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2010-09-10 | Lost |
| 1068 | 969 | 64% | 2004-06-12 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2004-03-28 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2003-12-06 | Won |
| 1153 | 1010 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1009.8 has a 51.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).