Royal Marines
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (14 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 53
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 851 | 1164 | 14% | 2017-04-15 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1136 | 41% | 2015-06-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1101 | 66% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 920 | 920 | 50% | 2009-04-21 | Won |
| 1086 | 1025 | 59% | 2008-07-26 | Won |
| 1111 | 1184 | 40% | 2003-02-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 1021 | 57% | 1999-11-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1101 | 32% | 1999-05-01 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1237 | 52% | 1998-10-17 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 1997-01-19 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1180 | 44% | 1996-01-16 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1084 | 1096 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1096.9 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).