Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (12 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 60
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2023-03-07 | | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2019-12-17 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-03-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-06-03 | | Won |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2011-06-02 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2008-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 1998-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 1998-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
| 1070 | 832 | 80% | | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 991.5 has a 59.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).