Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 108 (11 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 59
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-03-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2019-12-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1038 | 52% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1036 | 57% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 929 | 938 | 49% | 2011-06-03 | Won |
| 982 | 938 | 56% | 2011-06-02 | Won |
| 1140 | 1078 | 59% | 2008-06-21 | Lost |
| 1003 | 790 | 77% | 1998-06-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1117 | 847 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1001.5 has a 57.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).