Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (31 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1102 | 878 | 78% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 995 | 994 | 50% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1249 | 1187 | 59% | 2019-08-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 962 | 62% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 920 | 66% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 964 | 63% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
| 1274 | 1420 | 30% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1012 | 953 | 58% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
| 986 | 756 | 79% | 2015-02-25 | Won |
| 756 | 986 | 21% | 2015-01-31 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1140 | 48% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 1077 | 1062 | 52% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 973 | 920 | 58% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1136 | 36% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 959 | 65% | 2005-05-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1019 | 56% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
| 1228 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
| 1249 | 978 | 83% | 2000-12-13 | Won |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2000-12-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1081 | 35% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 876 | 1081 | 24% | 1998-04-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1184 | 36% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 866 | 1180 | 14% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
| 953 | 984 | 46% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1057 vs 1032.5 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).