Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (26 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 23
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2023-10-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 960 | 75% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1110 | 877 | 79% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 995 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1008 | 59% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1032 | 920 | 66% | 2018-08-23 | Won |
| 1061 | 964 | 64% | 2017-11-11 | Won |
| 1313 | 1062 | 81% | 2016-01-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 991 | 65% | 2015-07-26 | Won |
| 1012 | 986 | 54% | 2015-03-13 | Won |
| 1130 | 1152 | 47% | 2010-10-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 999 | 55% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 967 | 1062 | 37% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 1010 | 920 | 63% | 2008-04-27 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1132 | 35% | 2007-06-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-10-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2004-06-14 | Won |
| 1228 | 940 | 84% | 2004-04-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2004-03-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1065 | 49% | 2000-12-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 1044 | 43% | 1999-05-05 | Lost |
| 876 | 1044 | 28% | 1998-04-28 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1196 | 33% | 1995-08-01 | Won |
| 866 | 1115 | 19% | 1995-07-05 | Lost |
| 986 | 985 | 50% | 1993-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1030.2 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).