Chateau de Quesnoy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (French): 27
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2021-10-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2019-07-26 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1049 | 49% | 2018-09-07 | Lost |
| 1306 | 1088 | 78% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2009-09-22 | Won |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2007-02-12 | Lost |
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2006-07-21 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2004-09-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1057 | 58% | 2001-10-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 994 | 65% | 1993-11-14 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1030.8 has a 56.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).