Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 48
Defender wins (German): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-02-24 | Won |
| 1123 | 1427 | 15% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1008 | 48% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 1005 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-12-04 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
| 970 | 1113 | 31% | 2019-07-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2018-08-11 | Won |
| 948 | 1073 | 33% | 2012-07-31 | Won |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2011-01-02 | Won |
| 1224 | 1019 | 76% | 2004-04-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1015 | 57% | 2004-03-04 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1036 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1049.3 vs 1088.6 has a 44.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).