Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 15
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 992 | 1010 | 47% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 809 | 904 | 37% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 846 | 875 | 46% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 1021 | 1139 | 34% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1151 | 59% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 908 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 973 | 974 | 50% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 973 | 1094 | 33% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1001 | 33% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1144 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1219 | 1068 | 70% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1098 | 1021 | 61% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 929 | 1036 | 35% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1124 | 43% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 1249 | 1271 | 47% | 2004-07-22 | Won |
| 969 | 1140 | 27% | 1999-10-07 | Won |
| 1097 | 1041 | 58% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 973 | 990 | 48% | 1997-06-08 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1180 | 39% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1184 | 939 | 80% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1184 | 881 | 85% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 1154 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1036.6 has a 51.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).