Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 14
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 946 | 1010 | 41% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
| 815 | 899 | 38% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
| 846 | 852 | 49% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
| 987 | 1120 | 32% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1150 | 60% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 974 | 55% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
| 1043 | 1072 | 46% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
| 873 | 1001 | 32% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1151 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
| 1147 | 882 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 1157 | 994 | 72% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 996 | 64% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
| 929 | 1028 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1125 | 40% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
| 969 | 1152 | 26% | 1999-10-07 | Won |
| 1097 | 1041 | 58% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1115 | 49% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 934 | 83% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
| 1213 | 881 | 87% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
| 1037 | 1137 | 36% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.6 vs 1020.6 has a 52.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).