Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 14
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
949 | 741 | 77% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
815 | 918 | 36% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
846 | 875 | 46% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
960 | 1119 | 29% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
1219 | 1151 | 60% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
741 | 973 | 21% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
889 | 1001 | 34% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
1088 | 1151 | 41% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
1147 | 881 | 82% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
1145 | 998 | 70% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
1099 | 996 | 64% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
929 | 1035 | 35% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1123 | 1125 | 50% | 2005-08-27 | Won |
969 | 1152 | 26% | 1999-10-07 | Won |
1097 | 1041 | 58% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
741 | 1070 | 13% | 1997-06-08 | Lost |
1102 | 1127 | 46% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
1193 | 934 | 82% | 1995-07-29 | Lost |
1193 | 881 | 86% | 1993-06-04 | Won |
1028 | 1138 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1015.6 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).