Prelude to Breakout
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1129 | 46% | 2008-07-20 | Lost |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2003-09-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 982 | 75% | 1996-07-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1063.4 vs 1055.4 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).