Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (16 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 38
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1151 | 36% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1187 | 31% | 2021-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
| 1051 | 954 | 64% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
| 858 | 1167 | 14% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1055 | 60% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1236 | 25% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1105 | 58% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
| 1144 | 941 | 76% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
| 1015 | 1152 | 31% | 2005-10-02 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1202 | 34% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1202 | 34% | 1998-01-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1002 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1101.4 has a 43.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).