The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 948 | 968 | 47% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1306 | 1088 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1263 | 44% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1026 | 52% | 1999-03-13 | Won |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 1033 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1072.3 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).