The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1087 | 1106 | 47% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 948 | 1093 | 30% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1306 | 1088 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 970 | 1093 | 33% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1264 | 44% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | Won |
| 1153 | 1031 | 67% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1083.6 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).