The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1083 | 1083 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 946 | 1277 | 13% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1320 | 1091 | 79% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1093.5 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).