The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (Chinese): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1062 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1307 | 1091 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1039 | 48% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1219 | 1249 | 46% | 1999-07-10 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 990 | 990 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | Won |
| 1154 | 1065 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.8 vs 1075.8 has a 50.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).