Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (19 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-02-19 | Won |
| 1075 | 988 | 62% | 2025-11-19 | Lost |
| 947 | 1017 | 40% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 947 | 1058 | 35% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
| 1145 | 1082 | 59% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 974 | 1077 | 36% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1021 | 61% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 939 | 1226 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1060 | 44% | 2013-04-25 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1017 | 56% | 2013-02-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2004-01-02 | Lost |
| 909 | 1055 | 30% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2002-07-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 1065 | 44% | 2001-12-09 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1127 | 38% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1997-06-17 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 1997-02-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1003.2 vs 1071.2 has a 40.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).