The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (8 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 20
Defender wins (Vichy French): 40
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2023-09-17 | A | Won |
| 992 | 1019 | 46% | 2018-06-02 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-01-07 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2013-03-01 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1025.5 has a 55.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).