The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 941 | 1038 | 36% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1256 | 999 | 81% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1047 | 47% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 975 | 63% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 1067 | 34% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 888 | 922 | 45% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 873 | 850 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1256 | 874 | 90% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1172 | 1173 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1048 | 48% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1080 | 875 | 76% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 950 | 1073 | 33% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 939 | 63% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2000-11-29 | Won |
| 1176 | 1233 | 42% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 1999-08-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1031 | 67% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 993 | 65% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1008.8 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).