The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 946 | 1006 | 41% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1268 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1016 | 81% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1009 | 56% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 961 | 65% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 946 | 764 | 74% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 870 | 1044 | 27% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 964 | 39% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 869 | 846 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1268 | 873 | 91% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1044 | 881 | 72% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 932 | 1044 | 34% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1036 | 932 | 65% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2000-11-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1105 | 62% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 1999-08-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1036 | 64% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046.3 vs 982.3 has a 59.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).