The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS)): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 997 | 57% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 941 | 1005 | 41% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1207 | 24% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1010 | 76% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 994 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1071 | 931 | 69% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1018 | 39% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 998 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 1076 | 25% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 870 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1207 | 873 | 87% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1053 | 47% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1081 | 875 | 77% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 971 | 1094 | 33% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 932 | 67% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2000-11-29 | Won |
| 1184 | 1105 | 61% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 1999-08-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 1999-07-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1180 | 25% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1054 | 64% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 1002.3 has a 57.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).