Cattern's Position
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 8
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 949 | 802 | 70% | 2021-10-31 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1065 | 56% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1057 | 49% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1063 | 43% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 949 | 878 | 60% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1152 | 55% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2004-07-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1123 | 37% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1127 | 1277 | 30% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1247 | 26% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 957 | 1035 | 39% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1127 | 50% | 2002-01-19 | Won |
| 1027 | 1152 | 33% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 1127 | 1108 | 53% | 1998-05-02 | Lost |
| 1028 | 893 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1044.6 has a 51.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).