Hamlet's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (16 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 86
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 873 | 71% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 966 | 995 | 46% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1033 | 47% | 2023-12-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 946 | 995 | 43% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 987 | 57% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1034 | 982 | 57% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
| 1182 | 1016 | 72% | 2006-01-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-05-20 | Won |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2001-04-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 1070 | 47% | 2000-09-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1050 | 53% | 2000-09-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 1036 | 61% | 1999-05-10 | Lost |
| 908 | 1050 | 31% | 1998-10-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1115 | 32% | 1997-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1020.9 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).