Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1004 | 1039 | 45% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1096 | 45% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1012 | 63% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 953 | 62% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 953 | 58% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 998 | 54% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 1017 | 73% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1089 | 1103 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1103 | 831 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1011.8 has a 57.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).