Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1107 | 28% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1107 | 53% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 939 | 64% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 862 | 1150 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 939 | 60% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1006 | 60% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1076 | 1057 | 53% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1095 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1095 | 833 | 82% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1036.5 has a 53.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).