Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1068 | 36% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 997 | 997 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1099 | 944 | 71% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1108 | 53% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 909 | 68% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 862 | 1149 | 16% | 2006-04-29 | Won |
| 1011 | 909 | 64% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1006 | 53% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1159 | 1052 | 65% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 834 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1016.9 has a 56.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).