Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1063 | 36% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1042 | 1042 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1108 | 51% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 962 | 61% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 962 | 57% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 988 | 56% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1177 | 1045 | 68% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1264 | 1149 | 66% | 1998-05-17 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 833 | 76% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1020.5 has a 57.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).