Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 5
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1045 | 999 | 57% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1013 | 63% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 977 | 59% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 977 | 55% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1213 | 809 | 91% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1085 | 849 | 80% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 990.7 has a 62.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).