A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 245 (31 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 121
Defender wins (Gurkha): 124
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1175 | 45% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
1049 | 1079 | 46% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
984 | 924 | 59% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
943 | 916 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
1055 | 999 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
969 | 1012 | 44% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
1050 | 884 | 72% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
1036 | 1019 | 52% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
1151 | 954 | 76% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
1145 | 1050 | 63% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1050 | 1027 | 53% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
869 | 944 | 39% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
1030 | 1087 | 42% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
1153 | 989 | 72% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
994 | 1228 | 21% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
1126 | 1327 | 24% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
997 | 1110 | 34% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
920 | 987 | 40% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
1028 | 994 | 55% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
1058 | 1001 | 58% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
892 | 1063 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1033.7 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).