A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 263 (44 on the archive and 219 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 133
Defender wins (Gurkha): 130
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 881 | 70% | 2025-09-17 | Won |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1103 | 60% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1082 | 49% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1014 | 965 | 57% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 973 | 948 | 54% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1216 | 35% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1037 | 1018 | 53% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1124 | 1078 | 57% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1110 | 62% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1059 | 905 | 71% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1035 | 1017 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 954 | 75% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1059 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1059 | 977 | 62% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 870 | 943 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1007 | 1051 | 44% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1162 | 1078 | 62% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 1031 | 1244 | 23% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1080 | 1126 | 43% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1126 | 1216 | 37% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1075 | 39% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1062 | 1151 | 37% | 2007-10-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1194 | 44% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 969 | 1068 | 36% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 920 | 927 | 49% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1023 | 1031 | 49% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1039 | 70% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1186 | 1132 | 58% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1109 | 35% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1080 | 67% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 1001 | 932 | 60% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 893 | 1003 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1023 | 1117 | 37% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1056.6 vs 1053.1 has a 50.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).