Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 181 (26 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 79
Defender wins (German): 101
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 1046 | 64% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
802 | 1192 | 10% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
960 | 1052 | 37% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
1003 | 1016 | 48% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
1109 | 1104 | 51% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
1000 | 1109 | 35% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
1057 | 1052 | 51% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
974 | 992 | 47% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
1120 | 1242 | 33% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
1008 | 975 | 55% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
952 | 887 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1052 | 56% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
1094 | 954 | 69% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
1015 | 1116 | 36% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
1172 | 1089 | 62% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
916 | 916 | 50% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
1360 | 1287 | 60% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
992 | 796 | 76% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1041.5 has a 53.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).